A drone attack occurred outside Baghdad Airport in the early hours of 3 January. Initial media reports did not see it being linked to any major action. But when the truth came out that Qasim Sulemani, one of Iran's top commanders, was among the dead, it caused panic in the entire Middle East.

After this, US President Donald Trump made it clear by tweeting that Qasim Suleimani had been killed in US action which the US considered 'militant'. Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, the commander of the Iran-backed militia Qataib Hizbollah, was also killed in the action.

Sulaimani was the head of Iran's Al-Quds Force. Iran's security force is known for its operations outside the country. It was declared a terrorist organization by America.

After this action, tensions in Iran and America reached their peak and they have carried out several missile attacks on the US military base in Iraq, but no American soldiers have been killed in these attacks so far.

The US did not retaliate after the Iranian missile attacks. America's non-action was seen to be linked to many things, the biggest reason being the US general elections due this year.

Experts believe that America will not want to go to war in the election year, but if Iran goes to war then its economy will be destroyed. But the biggest question that arises is whether Iran can influence US elections?

On this, Chintamani Mahapatra, Professor at the Center for Canada, USA and Latin American Studies of Jawaharlal Nehru University, says that the issues of the US presidential election are similar to the elections of other countries. America's economic, social status and foreign policy have a huge impact on this election.

Professor Chintamani Mahapatra says, "In the 2020 presidential elections, Trump will benefit the administration on economic policy, employment and inflation. On the other hand there are social issues. How is social stability and the situation of minorities, how much racism dominates. It Everyone also affects the elections.

If we look at the history of America, then the Presidents have enjoyed the benefit of war or any major action during the presidential elections.

The then President Barack Obama got the benefit of the killing of Al Qaeda chief Osama bin Laden. George Bush Jr. benefited from his second term when he entered Afghanistan. When he went to Afghanistan, there was a message that he is a very strong leader.

During the Second World War, due to the way Franklin D. Roosevelt fought the war, he became the President of America for three consecutive times.

Will Donald Trump benefit from elections in war with Iran? On this question, Professor Chintamani Mahapatra says that foreign and defense policy does not have much impact on elections, but if there is a fight in the time of elections and it involves American soldiers then the issue will come out in the presidential debate. People's support in America's fight against terrorism is supported.

He says, "President Trump will not benefit from America's attack on Iran because political divisions have started in the United States on this issue. The Democratic Party has denied Trump's policy and is non-binding in the House of Representatives." A proposal has been brought which aims to curb the war powers of the President and seek the permission of Congress before starting the war. ''

"But there is a fear in the general public of America that what action will be taken by Iran after Qasim Suleimani is killed? On the other hand, if we look at the European Union countries (Germany, France), they do not support Trump's Iran policy. They want the nuclear deal to remain with Iran. In this perspective, voters who are politically aware and understand international issues, those voters Will vote against Onald Trump. ''

After the death of Qasim Suleimani, Iran has attacked the US airbase several times in Iraq, but the US has not retaliated.

Reports from the Pentagon said that the decision to kill General Suleimani was taken on the spot. Donald Trump has been against the war in the Middle East. During his election campaign for 2015-16, he has said that fighting the war will waste money.

Professor Mukhtar Khan of the University of Delaware, USA, says that one benefit to Donald Trump after killing General Suleimani is that the case of impeachment against him is not getting TV coverage.

He says, "Now the focus of the TV is only on Iran. With this the acceptance of Donald Trump in the Republican Party has gone up to 95%. However, protests in Iran have intensified after the Ukrainian plane was killed. The reason is that Iran may be forced to enter into a new agreement with America. It will be like a victory for America if a stronger agreement than the previous nuclear agreement is reached this time.

"If this agreement is not even done, Trump will try to take advantage of it in the election campaign. He will say that Obama killed Laden but he has killed both Sulemani and Baghdadi. The class that is very concerned about security, say that Trump has a lot to offer. ''

At the same time, Professor Mohapatra says that like Iran, America does not want war because it will not benefit it in elections.

He says, "If an American soldier was killed in Iran's action, the pressure of action would have increased on him and it would also have an impact in American politics that his soldiers were killed because of Trump, so Trump is afraid that Iran will be able to control the circumstances Do not spoil it so that the elections are not affected.

America's war in Iraq and Afghanistan is still going on. The United States believed that its war in Iraq would end in four-five weeks, but in 17 years an estimated two and a half trillion dollars have been spent in it. At the same time, the US debt is 21 trillion dollars, there is a debt on it, but the economic condition of America is quite good.

Professor Muktadar Khan says that only 25 percent of Americans want a war with Iran, while 75 percent want the issue to be resolved through diplomacy or economic sanctions.

He says, "Apart from spending money, on the other hand, America's fear is that Iran will attack back if there is war and could attack Saudi Arabia or UAE. They can destroy their oil wells. Because of this The global economy will come to a standstill. America has one year of oil while Japan and European countries have only one week of oil. If oil exports stop, it will destroy many economies. ''

"At the same time, Iran has a number of militia forces like Hezbollah that can strengthen Iran. It can be understood by this example that if a suicide bomber of these militia army blows himself up in an embassy then by suicide attack Iran will benefit.

Trump of Republican supporters still remains cherished and wants to see him again in the electoral fray. On the other hand, the voting percentage in America is very low as compared to other democratic countries.

Professor Muktadar Khan says that Trump's 43-45% vote is not taking the name of moving, while the opposition is hovering at 53%, out of the total number of people who can vote in the country, only 60% are registered to vote. Only 60 percent of the registered voters vote. If they get half the votes, then a person can become the President of the United States.

He says, "Trump's election result depends on the voting percentage. Democrats will lose Trump if they find a candidate who inspires people to vote. Historically, Conservatives or Republicans are big honest voters who consistently Votes but Democratic voters do not vote consistently. ''

On the other hand, the case of impeachment also does not seem to harm the Trump much in the elections. The impeachment case against Donald Trump is set to fall in the Senate because there is a Republican majority and he stands firmly with Trump. If Trump loses in the Senate, he will have to give up the seat but it is difficult to do so.

Muktadar Khan calls the process of impeachment an initiative of liberal Democrat leaders.

He says, "52-55 percent of Americans hate Trump and hardly hated any other leader. Democrats are doing this to motivate these people to vote. If Democrats don't go ahead on impeachment These voters are not motivated if they grow. Trump also keeps motivating his voters.

How strong will Trump get from a Democrat candidate? It will also decide on the Democrat candidate how he takes his policies to the public. On the other hand, it is not yet clear whether a leader from the Republican Party will challenge Trump.

If no one comes forward to challenge Trump, he will become the Republican candidate himself, being the current President. But the race for the US presidential election is very long and issues and circumstances change from moment to moment in the election process that lasts almost a year.

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