National President of Swaraj India Party Yogendra Yadav has expressed his opinion about the Gujarat assembly elections. By tweeting with the official account, Yogendra Yadav told through a few figures that how many percent of votes and seats could be cast to the party.

In the tweets, they have also given three scenarios. With this he has posted a picture of the figures. It has also been written down that all data has been estimated by Yogendra Yadav and it does not represent any exit poll.

Apart from this, the seats which have been estimated are based on CSDS poll and are different from ABP estimates.

According to this estimate, in Gujarat this time Congress can win and BJP will have to sit in the opposition now.

Yogendra Yadav is an election analyst and has been giving his opinion on the election results even before.

According to Yogendra Yadav, in the first 'possible' scenario, BJP will get 86 seats (43 percent votes) and Congress will get 92 seats (43 percent).

In the second 'Likely' scenario, Yogendra Yadav has given BJP 65 (41 percent votes) and Congress 113 seats (45 percent).

In the third and final scenario, Yogendra Yadav has written 'can't be ruled out. After this he wrote that even bigger defeat for the BJP.

Yogendra Yadav projections for Gujarat

Scenario1: Possible
BJP 43% votes, 86 seats
INC 43% votes, 92 seats

Scenario 2: Likely
BJP 41% votes, 65 seats
INC 45% votes, 113 seats

Scenario 3: Can't be ruled out
Even bigger defeat for the BJP

If the matter was made by Yogendra Yadav, then according to the figures, BJP had won 44 out of 98 seats in the rural areas in 2012, the Congress had won 49 seats. In 45 semi-urban areas, BJP won 36 seats and Congress 8 seats. In the 39 constituencies of urban areas, BJP won 35 seats and Congress got only 4 seats. If you add it, then BJP has 115 seats and Congress got 61 seats. In Gujarat, elections are held in 182 assembly seats.

According to Yogendra's first scenario (ABP-CSDS vote share BJP and Congress of 43%), this time out of 98 rural seats BJP will get 28 seats and Congress 66 seats. In the semi-urban areas 45 seats, Yogendra Yadav has given BJP 26 seats and Congress 19 seats. Of the 39 seats in urban areas, BJP has been projected to get 29 seats and Congress 10 seats. That is, this time the BJP will get 83 seats and Congress 95 seats.

According to another scenario, (if 2% swings against BJP) in rural areas, BJP will get 20 seats and Congress 74 seats. BJP in semi-urban areas 18 seats and Congress 27 seats, BJP in 27 and Congress 12 in urban areas seats are estimated to be win. Add it to BJP will get 65 seats and Congress will get 113 seats.

Significantly, for the second phase of Gujarat assembly elections, it will be voted on Thursday 14th December. Voting will last from 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. This phase will be voted on 93 seats.

All preparations have been completed for the second phase by the Election Commission. 25,558 polling booths have been set up for voting. In this phase, there are 851 candidates in the fray, including 782 male and 69 female candidates.

According to the Election Commission, in the second phase, there are 2 crore 22 lakh 96,867 voters. The number of male voters is 1 crore 15 lakh 47,435 and the number of female voters is 1 crore seven lakh 48,977.

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