The Election Commission has not announced the dates for assembly elections to be held in Gujarat, but before that, Gujarat has already been in the election mode.

Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi is visiting Gujarat several times. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has also visited Gujarat three times in a month.

It is believed that in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the wave in India, including Gujarat, is not the wave today in BJP's favor.

In the 2014 general elections, BJP won all 26 Lok Sabha seats in Gujarat. At the same time, The BJP were cast 60 percent votes, but in the current period, the popularity of BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi has decreased considerably.

Perhaps this is the reason why Prime Minister Modi has to visit his home state repeatedly so that he can save his fortress.

In fact, after Narendra Modi went to Delhi from Gujarat, there was a vacancy in Gujarat BJP. At the same time, there is a lack of Modi in state-level governance too. After three years of becoming Prime Minister, the Chief Minister has changed twice in Gujarat. First Anandiben Patel and now Vijay Rupani.

In Gujarat recently, reservation movements of Patidar Samaj has played a big role in removing the Patidars from BJP. On the demand of reservation in jobs, Patidar Samaj has been agitating against the BJP government since year 2015.

The Narendra Modi government of the Center imposed the Notes ban and GST due to which India's economic growth rate declined. This has also reduced the popularity of BJP and PM Modi.

Many international agencies, including the World Bank, have feared the economy to slow down in the coming time too. Apart from this, due to unemployment and inflation, there has been a decrease in the popularity of the BJP government and the mass base.

Since Gujarat is a business-centric state, the direct impact of the economy's speed is on the public opinion.

Knowledgeable states that due to economic policies of the Modi government, traders of Gujarat have had to bear the losses. So, their trend can also shift from BJP to the Congress.

Apart from this, allegations of corruption against Jai Shah, son of BJP national president Amit Shah, can also damage BJP in the elections.

Due to the violence in Dalits in different parts of Gujarat in the last few years, it is natural for the Dalit society to be dissatisfied with the BJP. In Una and Vadodara large scale Dalits have already given their knocks.

Tribal society is also angry with the policies and actions of the BJP government, because so far they have not been benefitted from the 'Gujarat model' of development.

The tribal society, which has a fifth place according to the population in Gujarat, has been supporting BJP only.

Therefore, BJP has won 14 out of 27 reserved seats for Scheduled Tribes from the total 182 seats, but this time, the height of the Sardar Sarovar Dam, built on Narmada, is the highest tribal dominated village in the submerged area have come. They have not been properly displaced; this has indignation against the BJP in the tribal community. Because of this, it is believed that his trend could be on the Congress side.

For these reasons, the Congress, which is away from power for 22 years, is looking forward to a change in Gujarat. Congress vice-president Rahul Gandhi is touring Gujrat several times to see Ahmed Patel's victory in the Rajya Sabha election, the Modi government, surrounded on falling economy, Dalit-tribals disillusionment with BJP. Similar to BJP, Congress has been using social media as a weapon. Congress is hoping to return to power by making religious, ethnic and other coalitions in Gujarat.

(Click here for Android APP of IBTN. You can follow us on facebook and Twitter)

Share This News

About sharing